Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

13%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$198 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$65k Vol.
$568k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$5k Vol.
$462 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

38%

1560

$222k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$994k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

9%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$573 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1575

$132k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

47%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$193 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

88%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month