App Store Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

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#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

App 1

$708 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$408 Vol.
$802 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$110 Vol.
$596 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

57%

Shadowrocket

$151 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$334 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in September 2026?

76%

↑ $336

$27k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of September 21 2026?

86%

↑ $336

$34 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

87%

Alibaba

$508k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$619 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

65%

Z.ai

$127k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$107k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

80%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

76%

OpenAI

$153k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$57k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 days