Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 114 个市场

O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$10k 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

95%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$128 流动性
10 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

11%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$249 流动性
10 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

33%

Zohran Mamdani

$55k 交易量
$513k 流动性
10
3 个月后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

49%

Sam / Altman

$7k 交易量
$321 流动性
已结束
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

51%

Muse from Meta

$195 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$408 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

31%

1560

$219k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$991k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

85%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$587 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

31%

1575

$132k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k 交易量
$8k 流动性
10 天后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

49%

January 31

$0 交易量
$115 流动性
4 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

86%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束