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W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Tech·AI

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tech·OpenAI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

76%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$194 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Tech·AI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$555 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Tech·AI Benchmarks

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

32%

↑ 1530

$218k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$985k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Tech·App Store

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

Shadowrocket

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Tech·App Store

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

HotSchedules

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?

Culture·Apple

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?

Shadowrocket

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
ChatGPT global AI chatbot market share on October 31?

Tech·OpenAI

ChatGPT global AI chatbot market share on October 31?

80–81%

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28?

All

Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28?

No

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Geopolitics·Big Tech

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

No

$318k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?

Geopolitics·Business

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?

No

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

Geopolitics·AI

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

No

$268k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

Tech·Grok

Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

No

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

All

Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?

Yes

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?

All

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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