Chat Bots Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

B
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 3

96%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of September 26

99%

Boston - Stella Lefty

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
B
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 3

92%

Boston - Stella Lefty

$45 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 26

100%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$6k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$331 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

76%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$186 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

95%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$194 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

12%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$557 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

46%

Basement Bobs

$241 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

33%

↑ 1530

$217k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k Vol.
$257k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

30%

1560

$219k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$976k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
C
Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Basement Bobs (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

55%

Drama eSports

$893 Vol.
$473 Liq.
Ended