Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$198k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$242k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

41%

5

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$327 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

60%

Democrats Sweep

$12.7m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$109k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

23%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

11%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

38%

S + MP

$16k Vol.
$205k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 months
Q
Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

40%

20-24

$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

64%

160-179

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

40%

200+

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

89%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$102k Vol.
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2
Ends in 4 months
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

56%

200+

$194 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

84%

Grüne

$28k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

42%

<50

$17k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

92%

Linke

$9k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

44%

35-39

$67k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours