Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 220 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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1
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W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

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H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

42%

5

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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

34%

S + MP

$17k Vol.
$222k Liq.
3
Ends in 10 months
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

88%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$108k Vol.
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2
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W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

$55k Vol.
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8
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

74%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
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11
Ends in about 2 months
N
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

80%

Andris Kulbergs

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W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

13%

PSD

$27k Vol.
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Ended
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

60%

December 31

$1k Vol.
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T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$280 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$354k Vol.
$13k Liq.
112
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

31%

Pete Hegseth

$1.4m Vol.
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J
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

38%

0.0%–0.8%

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Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
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J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$137 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$68.6m Vol.
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🔥$76k today
1,692
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