Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$150k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$236k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

36%

5

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

62%

Democrats Sweep

$12.9m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$93k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

24%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$813 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

10%

Yes

$142 Vol.
$535 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

36%

S + MP

$19k Vol.
$208k Liq.
3
Ends in 10 months
Q
Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

35%

30+

$21k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

55%

180-199

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

51%

200+

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

73%

Green Party (MP)

$118k Vol.
$84k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

52%

200+

$633 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

42%

<50

$17k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

95%

Linke

$11k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

97%

30-34

$80k Vol.
$72k Liq.
2
Ended
Q
Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

22%

8-10

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$44k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month