Audemars Piguet Index Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

55%

Other

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

56%

Other

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

54%

Anduril

$10k Vol.
$364 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

37%

1470+

$44k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

80%

1500+

$111k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

73%

1430+

$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

56%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$71 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
L
Largest private company end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$10k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
3
3rd largest private company end of September?

97%

ByteDance

$12k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

Stripe

$835 Vol.
$236 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

71%

$900B-$1.00T

$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

94%

40%+

$77k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months