Audemars Piguet Index Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

90%

45%+

$89k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Anduril

$10k Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

54%

1470+

$58k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

95%

$5+

$455 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

99%

Other

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

87%

Other

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

81%

$20+

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

57%

↑ $25

$1k Vol.
$718 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%

Anthropic

$84k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

19%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

64%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

28%

↑ $25

$232 Vol.
$461 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

49%

Anthropic

$348 Vol.
$47 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
L
Largest private company end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$10k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.00-$1.10T

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

45%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

15%

Stripe

$835 Vol.
$218 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
3
3rd largest private company end of September?

97%

ByteDance

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$35k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 days