App Store Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

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#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

App 1

$2k Vol.
$950 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
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#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

51%

Shadowrocket

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%

ChatGPT

$633 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

51%

Muse from Meta

$203 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

16%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$318 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in September 2026?

81%

↓ $336

$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of September 21 2026?

91%

↑ $340

$5k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$947k Vol.
$138k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

97%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$35k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$552k Vol.
$105k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of September 21 above___?

98%

$310

$0 Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

68%

Z.ai

$133k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$108k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

57%

OpenAI

$167k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months