Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 864 markets

A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

76%

December 31, 2026

$3.8m Vol.
$204k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%

$2.0–$2.25T

$923k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

52%

November 2026

$262k Vol.
$49k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

21%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

83%

1.8T+

$461k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

7%

June 30, 2027

$98k Vol.
$203k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

71%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

62%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

96%

600B+

$501k Vol.
$173k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

90%

$1.5T

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

76%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$494 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$51k Vol.
$803k Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

58%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
D
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%

Yes

$11 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years