Announcements Predictions & Odds· 1588 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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W
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

27%

December 31

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97
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I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

28%

Yes

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

54%

December 31

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C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

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T
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

18%

Yes

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

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O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

78%

OpenAI

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S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

75%

October 31

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O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

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O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

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H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

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A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

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N
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

5%

Yes

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U
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

1%

Yes

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W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

71%

December 31

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W
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

14%

Yes

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S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

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F
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

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K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

32%

December 31

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