Announcements Predictions & Odds· 1607 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$112k Vol.
$137k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

27%

December 31

$413k Vol.
$126k Liq.
110
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

40%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$985 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

Soccer · Sports

Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

11%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$376 Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

58%

2

$1k Vol.
$609 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

$602 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$260 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

75%

↑ $20

$0 Vol.
$114 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

81%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$83k today
83
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$287k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

59%

0

$151k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

62%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
N
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

4%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

3%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

17%

Yes

$186k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

27%

↓ $30

$0 Vol.
$203 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year