Announcements Predictions & Odds· 1598 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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W
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

27%

December 31

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I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

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W
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

Soccer · Sports

Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

13%

Yes

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

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H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

43%

3

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C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

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W
Will broky join a team before 2027?

CS2 · Sports

Will broky join a team before 2027?

5%

Yes

$843 Vol.
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O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

74%

OpenAI

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S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

78%

October 31

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O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

82%

December 31, 2027

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H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

50%

0

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A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

69%

December 31, 2027

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T
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

9%

Yes

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N
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

4%

Yes

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T
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

85%

November 30

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U
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

1%

Yes

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O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

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W
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

18%

Yes

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4
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