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AI Development Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

AllPoliticsTechnologyFuture PredictionsBusinessTrumpU.S. PoliticsSam AltmanCelebritiesTech IndustryCEOsAIGptTech NewsCongressOpenAIAI TechnologyCultureLlmAI DevelopmentArtificial General IntelligenceArtificial IntelligenceAppleWeb SearchProduct LaunchTechCourtsSiriGeopoliticsMentions2025 PredictionsChatgptDeepSeekBig TechTBPNJony IveLoveFromGPT 5CodingMoonshotDebutAI ReleasesAI RankingsTrump SpeechWebDevAstra
W
What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?

Politics·Trump

What will Melania say during AI talk on January 16?

President Trump

$31.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
970
Ended
W
What will Trump say during healthcare affordability announcement?

Culture·Trump

What will Trump say during healthcare affordability announcement?

R&D / Research and Development

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump say during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?

Friendship

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

No

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

No

$337k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

No

$907k Vol.
$0 Liq.
54
Ended
O
OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

No

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

Tech·Apple

Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

Yes

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

Tech·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

No

$129k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

Culture·sam altman

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

Yes

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
S
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

Tech·tech news

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

No

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

No

$114k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
H
How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

Tech·AI

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3

$269k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
S
Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

Culture·AI

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Tech·AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Moonshot

$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI Sora public release in June?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI Sora public release in June?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Alibaba

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

All · OpenAI

Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Tech·AI

Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

No

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
G
GPT-Bidi-1 released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-Bidi-1 released by...?

July 31

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

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