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Gpt 5 Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

All Science Business Sam Altman AI Gpt OpenAI Grok Tech Gemini Big Tech GPT 5 Gemini 3 Rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec Top AI Model Spud GPT 5.5 GPT 5.6 AI Releases

G

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 9

$1.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

29

Ended

W

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

Not released by June 28

$928k Vol.

$0 Liq.

43

Ended

G

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31

$4.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

140

Ended

G

GPT-5.5 released on...?

April 23

$1.6m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

G

AI · sam altman

GPT-5.5 released by...?

April 30

$1.5m Vol.

$0 Liq.

G

GPT-5.4 released by...?

March 5

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

146

G

GPT-5.3 released by...?

March 31

$797k Vol.

$0 Liq.

175

Ended

G

GPT-5.3 released by...?

February 28

$278k Vol.

$0 Liq.

24

Ended

G

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

December 31

$35k Vol.

$0 Liq.

9

Ended

G

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No

$76k Vol.

$0 Liq.

30

Ended

W

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

August 7

$2.8m Vol.

$0 Liq.

330

Ended

G

GPT-5 released by…?

December 31

$7.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

1,021

Ended

G

OpenAI · AI

GPT-5 released in 2024?

No

$754k Vol.

$0 Liq.

36

Ended

W

Science · AI

When will GPT-5 be announced?

2025 or later

$1.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

78

Ended

A

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

xAI

$103k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

A

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Unknown

$350k Vol.

$0 Liq.

72

B

Tech·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$33k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$46k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on April 24? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$46k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

T

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$59k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

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