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Gpt Predictions & Odds· 172 markets

W

All · machine learning

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

$144k Vol.

$0 Liq.

19

Ended

W

All

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

Yes

$121k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

N

Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?

September 30

$23k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

N

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

1450+

$508k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

G

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 9

$1.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

29

Ended

G

GPT-Bidi-1 released by...?

July 31

$28k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

W

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

Not released by June 28

$928k Vol.

$0 Liq.

43

Ended

G

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31

$4.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

140

Ended

G

GPT-5.5 released on...?

April 23

$1.6m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

G

AI · sam altman

GPT-5.5 released by...?

April 30

$1.5m Vol.

$0 Liq.

G

GPT-5.4 released by...?

March 5

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

146

G

GPT-5.3 released by...?

March 31

$797k Vol.

$0 Liq.

175

Ended

O

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

35%+

$29k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

O

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

45%+

$43k Vol.

$0 Liq.

10

Ended

G

GPT-5.3 released by...?

February 28

$278k Vol.

$0 Liq.

24

Ended

G

GPT transaction fees by December 31?

Yes

$26k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

G

ai technology · Business

GPT ads by...?

March 31

$1.2m Vol.

$0 Liq.

206

Ended

G

GPT-6 released by…?

September 15, 2026

$2.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

88

Ends in 3 months

G

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

December 31

$35k Vol.

$0 Liq.

9

Ended

G

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No

$76k Vol.

$0 Liq.

30

Ended

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