AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?

Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times

$77k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
A
Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

Yes

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

Yes

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
N
NYT drop OpenAI case by March?

All · nyt

NYT drop OpenAI case by March?

No

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Moonshot

$153k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Apple + OpenAI deal announced by Friday?

No

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

No

$337k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

No

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

No

$907k Vol.
$0 Liq.
54
Ended
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Z.ai

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Alibaba

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

No

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI announces search competitor on Monday?

AI · Business

OpenAI announces search competitor on Monday?

No

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Is Drake’s verse in "Wah Gwan Delilah" AI?

No

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
O
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI settlement with NYT by March?

No

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3

$269k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
C
ChatGPT global AI chatbot market share on October 31?

80–81%

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.