Debut Predictions & Odds· 255 markets

N
Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+

$205k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

1480+

$207k Vol.
$9k Liq.
100
W
Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut?
$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut as #1? (Text Arena)

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

No

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?

Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?

1460+

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+

$367k Vol.
$0 Liq.
82
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Future's "The Real Me" debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Yes

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months