Xai 预测与赔率· 284 个市场

W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$984k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

73%

Anthropic

$7.4m 交易量
$102k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k 交易量
$96k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

78%

None in 2026

$126k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing Yards Leader

50%

A

$0 交易量
$156 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: 2026 SEC Rushing TDs Leader

50%

A

$0 交易量
$182 流动性
3 个月后结束
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

58%

December 31

$14k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

74%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

62%

December 31

$0 交易量
$50 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

55%

SpaceX

$12k 交易量
$186 流动性
5
超过 1 年后结束
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 交易量
$3k 流动性
超过 2 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

44%

$100B+

$8k 交易量
$12k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k 交易量
$75k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k 交易量
$5k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

23%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$179k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 交易量
$450 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1440+

$66k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束