Outage 预测与赔率· 3959 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
11 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$151 流动性
11 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$156 流动性
11 天后结束
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

62%

December 31

$0 交易量
$85 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

14%

Yes

$11k 交易量
$525 流动性
11 天后结束
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

69%

October 31

$0 交易量
$81 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

33%

1-3 hours

$19k 交易量
$5k 流动性
11 天后结束
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 21?

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 交易量
$527 流动性
1 天后结束
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

9%

September 30

$4k 交易量
$582 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 21?

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 21?

56%

Up

$0 交易量
$16 流动性
1 天后结束
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

27%

Up

$3k 交易量
$371 流动性
已结束
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

26%

Up

$247 交易量
$102 流动性
已结束
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 21?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 21?

24%

Up

$0 交易量
$516 流动性
1 天后结束
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

75%

December 31, 2026

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
M
Meta (META) Up or Down on September 21?

Meta (META) Up or Down on September 21?

57%

Up

$19 交易量
$537 流动性
1 天后结束
E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 21?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 21?

42%

Up

$0 交易量
$495 流动性
1 天后结束
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 交易量
$17 流动性
1 天后结束
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?

52%

Up

$480 交易量
$571 流动性
1 天后结束
O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 21?

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 21?

50%

Up

$0 交易量
$275 流动性
1 天后结束
S
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 21?

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 21?

57%

Up

$89 交易量
$320 流动性
1 天后结束