Openai 预测与赔率· 818 个市场

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$403k 交易量
$9k 流动性
40
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$111k 流动性
14
3 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$45k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$17k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

65%

1.5T+

$335k 交易量
$82k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$264k 交易量
$24k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$41k 交易量
$968k 流动性
4
超过 3 年后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$106k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$222k 交易量
$21k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m 交易量
$141k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

92%

September 24

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$540 交易量
$880 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

61%

November 30

$17k 交易量
$805 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

22%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k 交易量
$24k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

84%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$79k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

87%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4 个月后结束
T
Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$7k 交易量
$234 流动性
超过 1 年后结束