Claude 5 预测与赔率· 253 个市场

B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$32k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 17 小时后结束
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
10 天后结束
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

86%

55%+

$112k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

35%

September 21

$49k 交易量
$25k 流动性
10 天后结束
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k 交易量
$24k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

December 31

$239k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

64%

December 31

$10k 交易量
$792 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$24k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$82k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

93%

October 31

$7k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
M
M15 Telavi: Giovanni Boi vs Egor Khotchenkov

Tennis · Sports

M15 Telavi: Giovanni Boi vs Egor Khotchenkov

50%

Giovanni Boi

$0 交易量
$23 流动性
7 天后结束
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Patricio Alvarado

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Patricio Alvarado

51%

Carel Aubriel Ngounoue

$0 交易量
$278 流动性
7 天后结束
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k 交易量
$57k 流动性
15 天后结束
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

52%

Eric Girard

$6k 交易量
$23k 流动性
15 天后结束
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

52%

Claude Reid

$5k 交易量
$29k 流动性
15 天后结束
C
Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

No release by February 28

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

September 30, 2026

$4.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
219
已结束