Claude 5 预测与赔率· 253 个市场

B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$32k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 23 小时后结束
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

72%

5-7

$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

88%

55%+

$110k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

34%

September 21

$46k 交易量
$24k 流动性
10 天后结束
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k 交易量
$25k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

December 31

$237k 交易量
$32k 流动性
🔥$51k 今日
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

63%

December 31

$10k 交易量
$894 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$24k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$81k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

94%

October 31

$7k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k 交易量
$56k 流动性
15 天后结束
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

56%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$6k 交易量
$23k 流动性
15 天后结束
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

65%

Alexandre Daneau

$5k 交易量
$29k 流动性
15 天后结束
C
Claude 5 released on...?

Claude 5 released on...?

No release by February 28

$663k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
已结束
C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

September 30, 2026

$4.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
219
已结束
W
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Yes

$138k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Yes

$59k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束