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Outages 预测与赔率· 162 个市场

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#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

54%

2

$10k 交易量
$1k 流动性
11 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$17k 交易量
$77 流动性
11 天后结束
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Tech·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

14%

Yes

$11k 交易量
$450 流动性
11 天后结束
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Politics·hack

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

45%

October 31

$73k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
AWS service disrupted by...?

Tech·amazon

AWS service disrupted by...?

50%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
11 天后结束
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

Tech·AI

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 交易量
$99 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

8%

October 31

$2k 交易量
$824 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?

All

Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?

$50k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023?

All

Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023?

$1k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

Geopolitics·Iran

US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

No

$101k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
J
June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?

Culture · Tech

June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?

No

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
I
Iran behind June 12 internet outages?

Tech·Iran

Iran behind June 12 internet outages?

No

$53k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

<3

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

4

$49k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

Tech·gpt

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

4+

$38k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

Tech·gpt

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

<2

$40k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
A
archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

Geopolitics·hack

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

No

$123k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
C
Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

Politics·Iran

Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

No

$21k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
C
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by...?

Politics·Cuba

Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by...?

August 31

$15k 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

Yes

$6k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

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