AI Releases 预测与赔率· 198 个市场

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$271k 交易量
$28k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$16k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$437k 交易量
$14k 流动性
46
3 个月后结束
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k 交易量
$18k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

8%

Yes

$150k 交易量
$29k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

71%

December 31

$13k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

21%

Earbuds/Headphones

$437k 交易量
$26k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$49k 流动性
97
3 个月后结束
F
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

13%

Yes

$329 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

7%

Yes

$582 交易量
$844 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$71k 交易量
$59k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m 交易量
$114k 流动性
409
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 交易量
$354 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

50%

0

$147k 交易量
$69k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

31%

December 31

$102k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束