Humanoid 预测与赔率· 109 个市场

W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

6%

Yes

$125k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$225 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 2 年后结束
L
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

36%

Google

$63k 交易量
$59k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
L
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

63%

Galions

$0 交易量
$923 流动性
1 天后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
D
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%

Yes

$11 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
4 个月后结束
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

85%

55%+

$112k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

52%

November 2026

$254k 交易量
$61k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
L
LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

61%

Solary

$1 交易量
$642 流动性
1 天后结束
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

55%

$1.75-$2.00T

$4k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
A
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

90%

$1.5T

$6k 交易量
$4k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

43%

$ANTH

$110k 交易量
$12k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束