Llm 预测与赔率· 165 个市场

W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

75%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$7k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$532 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

52%

1450+

$11k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

8%

Yes

$42k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$958k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k 交易量
$18k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k 交易量
$91k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

72%

1500+

$79k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

34%

↑ 1530

$217k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

78%

None in 2026

$126k 交易量
$13k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

53%

1575

$131k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$170k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

31%

1560

$219k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

54%

Anduril

$9k 交易量
$288 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

4%

1540

$389k 交易量
$2k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

All · google

Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

No

$4k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
W
What will Oracle say during their next earnings call?

AI 25+ times

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Docusign say during their next earnings call?

Customer 30+ times

$7k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Adobe say during their next earnings call?

Generative AI / Gen AI

$38k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束