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Safe Superintelligence 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

全部ScienceSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIAnthropicGoogleTechGeminiChatgptMetaRecurringBig TechMathClaudeDario AmodeiGemini ProClaude OpusAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksAI RegulationSSIASISafe SuperintelligenceCMIMillennium PrizeAI AchievementsAI Safety
S
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

Tech·AI

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

12%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$168 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$99k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Tech·AI

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

38%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

78%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

Tech·AI

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$112k 交易量
$73k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Tech·AI

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Tech·AI

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

54%

Hodge Conjecture

$23k 交易量
$17k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

Tech·AI

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$280k 交易量
$22k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Tech·AI

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

60%

Hodge Conjecture

$165k 交易量
$31k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Tech·AI

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$1k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$23k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

Tech·AI

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 交易量
$123 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

93%

40%+

$65k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$534 交易量
$895 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

Tech·AI

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 交易量
$504 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

Tech·AI

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 交易量
$729 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Tech·AI

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

33%

55%+

$60k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$461 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Tech·AI

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

23%

Google

$57k 交易量
$53k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Tech·AI

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$105k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

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热门Safe Superintelligence预测

SSI public model released by…?

最新Safe Superintelligence预测

SSI public model released by…?