AI Releases 预测与赔率· 107 个市场

N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

86%

October 31

$19k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$263k 交易量
$28k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$4k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

39%

December 31, 2026

$402k 交易量
$10k 流动性
40
3 个月后结束
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k 交易量
$17k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k 交易量
$28k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

5%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$402 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

80%

December 31

$11k 交易量
$22k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

9%

Yes

$3.0m 交易量
$20k 流动性
96
3 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

24%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k 交易量
$23k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

11%

Yes

$445 交易量
$668 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k 交易量
$47k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$79k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 交易量
$375 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$112k 交易量
$74k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$99k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

39%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束