Weaponization Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

34%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

14%

October 31

$371k Vol.
$45k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

66%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

19%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$64k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$149k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Fury vs 999 (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 2 Group Stage

50%

Fury

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

88%

September 23

$104k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$314 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$144k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

19%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: TenToesDown vs penazoid (BO1) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

50%

TenToesDown

$13 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ended
I
India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

14%

Yes

$994k Vol.
$11k Liq.
70
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

39%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A

53%

Sashi Esport

$7 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$273k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 22

$9k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Trippy Main Telecom vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage

50%

Trippy Main Telecom

$0 Vol.
$538 Liq.
Ends in 4 days