Weaponization Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

39%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

14%

October 31

$369k Vol.
$29k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

$17k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

19%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

66%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$149k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

54%

LOS

$0 Vol.
$138 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

99%

September 18

$100k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

17%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: TenToesDown vs penazoid (BO1) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

50%

TenToesDown

$13 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ended
I
India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

14%

Yes

$993k Vol.
$12k Liq.
70
Ends in 3 months
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Trippy Main Telecom vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 2 Group Stage

51%

Trippy Main Telecom

$0 Vol.
$468 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

51%

LOUD

$0 Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

23%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$293k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$16k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months