US Politics Predictions & Odds· 294 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3%

December 31

$70.2m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$856k today
1,703
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$414k Liq.
🔥$554k today
604
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

100%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$444k Liq.
🔥$328k today
207
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.3m Vol.
$573k Liq.
🔥$256k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$18.1m Vol.
$488k Liq.
🔥$139k today
157
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

77%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$238k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

2%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$120k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 22

$52k Vol.
$83k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k Vol.
$312k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$16k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

50%

USA

$15k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
168
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$278k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

43%

December 31

$201k Vol.
$52k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$55k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

66%

Democratic

$2.4m Vol.
$649k Liq.
94
Ends in over 2 years
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months