US Law Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

22%

Yes

$512 Vol.
$233 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$87k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$290k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

9%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.5m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$207k today
305
Ends in 3 months
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$9k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

8%

Yes

$150k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

19%

Mexico

$396k Vol.
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W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
S
SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$285 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
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275
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U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

54%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

44%

Yes

$850 Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

9%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$118 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$34k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

5%

Yes

$532k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month