US Iran Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 20

$1.7m Vol.
$470k Liq.
🔥$591k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$957k Liq.
🔥$127k today
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$463k Liq.
🔥$91k today
156
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$242k Liq.
🔥$81k today
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$248k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$788k Vol.
$324k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$29k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

19%

October 31

$360k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 10 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$636k Vol.
$25k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$142k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

61%

December 31

$30.0m Vol.
$456k Liq.
🔥$250k today
586
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%

Yes

$67.5m Vol.
$786k Liq.
🔥$165k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$549 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

33%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$445 Liq.
Ends in 10 days