US Iran Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.8m Vol.
$505k Liq.
🔥$297k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

40%

Jared Kushner

$858k Vol.
$307k Liq.
🔥$90k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

68%

March 31, 2027

$11.8m Vol.
$202k Liq.
🔥$81k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$841k Liq.
🔥$64k today
Ends in 9 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$447k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$30k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$948k Vol.
$140k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

24%

October 31

$361k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$160k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

3%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$34k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$130k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$456k Liq.
🔥$287k today
594
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

Yes

$67.7m Vol.
$898k Liq.
🔥$253k today
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$544 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$915 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months