US Congress Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

6%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

4%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$249k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$549 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.9m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$117k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

$155k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

$192k Vol.
$19k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

26%

115-120m

$30k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$52k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$105 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

67%

48

$22k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

36%

20

$8k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

33%

47–49 and 193–207

$39k Vol.
$192k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.8m Vol.
$725k Liq.
142
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

48%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$69k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado?

38%

5

$3k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month