US Congress Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

5%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

6%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$266k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$608 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.6m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$139k today
304
Ends in 3 months
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Josh Hawley

$177k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$192k Vol.
$17k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$86k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

10%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$69 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

68%

48

$22k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

37%

20

$8k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.1m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
150
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

34%

47–49 and 193–207

$43k Vol.
$180k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

32%

AI-chip export licensing

$169k Vol.
$72k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado?

38%

5

$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?

43%

5

$13k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 3 months