Unemployment Insurance Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$543k Vol.
$19k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

35%

4.1%

$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$430 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

71%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

22%

7.4M+

$572 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$183k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

59%

No change

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$18k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?

48%

80-99

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?

99%

$740

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$300 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

74%

↓ $760

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

50%

↑ 2000

$656k Vol.
$18k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

68%

0.3%

$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

48%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
A
AWS service disrupted by...?

AWS service disrupted by...?

50%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
White House # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?

52%

200+

$789 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

2%

Yes

$356k Vol.
$8k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months