Terra Wortmann Open Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

36%

November 30

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

0%

Over

$135k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

99%

32-35

$73k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

99%

26-29

$87k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$52k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

31%

7.1M to 7.2M

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

81%

1450+

$19k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

68%

1430+

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
G
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

95%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

56%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$70 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

71%

$900B-$1.00T

$29k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$71k Vol.
$63k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months