Synopsys Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

32%

Google

$64k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

53%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

53%

$1.75-$2.00T

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

75%

$1.25-$1.50T

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

88%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

76%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

49%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$62k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

25%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

76%

Anthropic

$27k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

78%

September 22

$284k Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$64k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 8 days