Steven Keough Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

China

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

50%

NATO

$8k Vol.
$95 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

50%

Scam

$5k Vol.
$171 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

100%

Trump

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

83%

OpenAI

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

94%

OpenAI

$31k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

62%

Google

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

76%

Google

$45k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

64%

MiniMax

$16k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$26k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

83%

Anthropic

$26k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

70%

Anthropic

$34k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

96%

Google

$43k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$801k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T

Colin Allred

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Michigan on March 18?

Biden 6+ times

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.
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Ended
#
#1 Searched News on Google this year?

Charlie Kirk assassination

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

Mentions · Politics

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

America / American 45+ times

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
82
Ended