Steven Keough Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$967 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

62%

Google

$41k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

76%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

88%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

76%

Anthropic

$27k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

87%

Google

$25k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T

Colin Allred

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Michigan on March 18?

Biden 6+ times

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
#1 Searched News on Google this year?

Charlie Kirk assassination

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

Mentions · Politics

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

America / American 45+ times

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
82
Ended
W
What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Brazil World Cup Match?

Goal 40+ times

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended