State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$265k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

89%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

53%

60-79

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

79%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

75%

80-99

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

99%

$745

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$837 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

China

$2k Vol.
$648 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

73%

March 31

$32.7m Vol.
$603k Liq.
🔥$163k today
664
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$732k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

13%

Yes

$419 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

36%

Putin

$5k Vol.
$493 Liq.
Ended
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

98%

Up

$3k Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$14.4m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$141k today
328
Ends in 3 months