State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$276k Liq.
🔥$59k today
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

1%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in 13 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

48%

80-99

$385 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

79%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

79%

100-119

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

26%

100-119

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$797 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$196 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

78%

March 31

$31.7m Vol.
$488k Liq.
🔥$474k today
610
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?

100%

Melania

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

19%

Yes

$330 Vol.
$840 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

73%

Rigged

$4k Vol.
$193 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month