State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$147k Liq.
🔥$61k today
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$29k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

55%

Melania

$108k Vol.
$86k Liq.
🔥$101k today
3
Ends in about 11 hours
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
16
Ends in 14 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

75%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 24?

99%

$755

$5k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

77%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$44k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 25?

92%

$750

$40 Vol.
$25 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 14 days
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

87%

Democrats

$759 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%

December 31

$31.4m Vol.
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🔥$328k today
606
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

20%

Yes

$330 Vol.
$825 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

97%

October 31

$716k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

President Xi

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

4%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month