Sovereignty Predictions & Odds· 171 markets

U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

3%

Yes

$190k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

4%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$21k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%

Yes

$35.6m Vol.
$208k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

1%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$49k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$328 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$112k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
U
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

5%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

5%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

7%

Yes

$534k Vol.
$11k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

6%

Yes

$91k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2%

Yes

$176k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

8%

Yes

$118k Vol.
$15k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

No

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended