Sonnet Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$39k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

39%

1470+

$44k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$310 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

84%

1500+

$120k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

95%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

42%

↓ 0.40

$81k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

June 30

$653k Vol.
$0 Liq.
62
Ended
A
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Unknown

$350k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

OpenAI

$239k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

Twitter · X

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

90-104

$491k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
K
Kentucky Derby Winner

racing · horse racing

Kentucky Derby Winner

Mystik Dan

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

<55

$250k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

<60

$487k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
O
Oscars: Best Original Song

What Was I Made For? (from 'Barbie')

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

Yes

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended