September 9 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 3861 markets

W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

93%

September 26

$112k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

98%

No release by September 30

$142k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

99%

September 25

$552k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$686 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

99%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$52k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

88%

September 28

$105k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

Trump approval rating on September 25?

66%

<37.5

$6k Vol.
$933 Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

33%

53.0 to 53.9

$15k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

47%

3.6%

$77k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

57%

3.4-3.6%

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 26 days
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

24%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

97%

<5

$8k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?

50%

↑$11B

$16k Vol.
$409 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

65%

October 31

$9k Vol.
$86 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

94%

November 30

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by September 30?

42%

↑$7.75B

$8k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
Core CPI YoY - September 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

50%

2.4%

$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 19 days