Secretary Predictions & Odds· 175 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$444k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

32%

October 14

$221k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
G
Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

58%

Tim Fleming (R)

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

50%

Candidate A

$870 Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

8%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

$450k Vol.
$355k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
O
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

59%

Robert Sprague (R)

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

82%

Democrat

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

8%

Yes

$945k Vol.
$18k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

47%

Rebeca Grynspan

$200k Vol.
$88k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

82%

JoCasta Zamarripa (D)

$964 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Cisco Aguilar (D)

$1k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$4k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

53%

Beau Bayh (D)

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

61%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

11%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

36%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$84k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ended
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

22%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months