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Sama Altman Predictions & Odds· 157 markets

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S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

5%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

Culture·magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

34%

Zohran Mamdani

$54k Vol.
$504k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tech·Business

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k Vol.
$7k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Tech·Elon

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

Tech·Elon

What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

51%

ChatGPT

$6k Vol.
$206 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

All · social media

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

All

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

No

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
S
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

No

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

$25k Vol.
$2 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Yes

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Politics·Courts

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
69
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Tech·Big Tech

What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Polymarket / Bet

$480k Vol.
$0 Liq.
168
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman in jail by...?

Tech·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

December 31, 2025

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended

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